GW23 -- Stats review
TLDR:
- Using Solio as the forecast, Bruno Fernandes and Dorgu outperformed their forecast the most over last 8 GWs
- Looking at the underperformers, Liverpool pops up with Eze & Mccalister
- Despite low expected points, Kroupi value for money (aka utility) is the highest amongst forwards. Joao Pedro is the top utility pick for fwds with >3.5pts
- Gabriel’s utility is very impressive in both absolute terms and considering how high his expected points are
- Raya is the undisputed GK pick by utlity
- Tavernier and Andersen show up as strong picks for midfield
Points vs Solio forecast
Utility analysis
Computed utility for next 6 GWs using Solio expected points divided by cost. Showing values for both all players and only those with > 3.5 expected points. Chris Richards is an interesting pick. Gabriel and Senesi also pop up but those are to be expected.
At the bottom, we also have the top 4 players per position. Utility is the lowest for forwards and Kroupi comes up as the undisputed king of utility forwards - only caveat is the low expected points. Gabriel is very impressive given the high expected points and very high utility.
Utility = Solio expected points / cost
| name | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | Avg points | Cost | Utility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Richards | 3.44 | 4.04 | 3.63 | 5.24 | 4.69 | 3.83 | 4.15 | 4.4 | 0.94 |
| Gabriel dos Santos Magalhães | 5.13 | 5.41 | 5.96 | 11.26 | 5.29 | 4.9 | 6.32 | 6.8 | 0.93 |
| Marcos Senesi Barón | 3.88 | 4.55 | 4.22 | 4.64 | 4.42 | 4.91 | 4.44 | 4.8 | 0.92 |
| Omar Alderete | 3.92 | 4.84 | 2.71 | 3.39 | 4.11 | 3.73 | 3.78 | 4.1 | 0.92 |
| Joachim Andersen | 4.08 | 3.75 | 4.97 | 2.88 | 4.63 | 4.5 | 4.14 | 4.6 | 0.9 |
| Nordi Mukiele | 4.09 | 5.05 | 2.85 | 3.55 | 4.24 | 3.87 | 3.94 | 4.4 | 0.9 |
| Jan Paul van Hecke | 3.55 | 4.43 | 4.33 | 3.4 | 4.03 | 4.09 | 3.97 | 4.5 | 0.88 |
| Jurriën Timber | 4.42 | 4.62 | 5.41 | 9.77 | 4.52 | 4.4 | 5.52 | 6.3 | 0.88 |
| Maxime Estève | 3.54 | 3.44 | 3.63 | 3.51 | 2.46 | 3.82 | 3.4 | 3.9 | 0.87 |
| Ian Maatsen | 2.96 | 3.87 | 3.46 | 3.57 | 3.99 | 3.95 | 3.63 | 4.2 | 0.87 |
Utility for players with >3.5pts = Solio expected points / cost
| name | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | Avg points | Cost | Utility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Richards | 3.44 | 4.04 | 3.63 | 5.24 | 4.69 | 3.83 | 4.15 | 4.4 | 0.94 |
| Gabriel dos Santos Magalhães | 5.13 | 5.41 | 5.96 | 11.26 | 5.29 | 4.9 | 6.32 | 6.8 | 0.93 |
| Marcos Senesi Barón | 3.88 | 4.55 | 4.22 | 4.64 | 4.42 | 4.91 | 4.44 | 4.8 | 0.92 |
| Omar Alderete | 3.92 | 4.84 | 2.71 | 3.39 | 4.11 | 3.73 | 3.78 | 4.1 | 0.92 |
| Joachim Andersen | 4.08 | 3.75 | 4.97 | 2.88 | 4.63 | 4.5 | 4.14 | 4.6 | 0.9 |
| Nordi Mukiele | 4.09 | 5.05 | 2.85 | 3.55 | 4.24 | 3.87 | 3.94 | 4.4 | 0.9 |
| Jan Paul van Hecke | 3.55 | 4.43 | 4.33 | 3.4 | 4.03 | 4.09 | 3.97 | 4.5 | 0.88 |
| Jurriën Timber | 4.42 | 4.62 | 5.41 | 9.77 | 4.52 | 4.4 | 5.52 | 6.3 | 0.88 |
| Ian Maatsen | 2.96 | 3.87 | 3.46 | 3.57 | 3.99 | 3.95 | 3.63 | 4.2 | 0.87 |
| Daniel Ballard | 4.18 | 5.02 | 2.88 | 3.6 | 4.28 | 3.89 | 3.97 | 4.6 | 0.86 |
Top 4 utility per position
| name | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | Avg points | Cost | Utility | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Richards | 3.44 | 4.04 | 3.63 | 5.24 | 4.69 | 3.83 | 4.15 | 4.4 | 0.94 | D |
| Gabriel dos Santos Magalhães | 5.13 | 5.41 | 5.96 | 11.26 | 5.29 | 4.9 | 6.32 | 6.8 | 0.93 | D |
| Marcos Senesi Barón | 3.88 | 4.55 | 4.22 | 4.64 | 4.42 | 4.91 | 4.44 | 4.8 | 0.92 | D |
| Omar Alderete | 3.92 | 4.84 | 2.71 | 3.39 | 4.11 | 3.73 | 3.78 | 4.1 | 0.92 | D |
| Eli Junior Kroupi | 3.32 | 3.55 | 3.44 | 3.26 | 3.57 | 2.35 | 3.25 | 4.6 | 0.71 | F |
| Igor Jesus Maciel da Cruz | 3.32 | 3.73 | 3.33 | 4.21 | 2.67 | 2.67 | 3.32 | 5.8 | 0.57 | F |
| João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus | 3.78 | 4.55 | 4.25 | 4.05 | 4.69 | 2.97 | 4.05 | 7.1 | 0.57 | F |
| Thierno Barry | 3.42 | 3.04 | 3.04 | 3.52 | 3.28 | 2.93 | 3.2 | 5.7 | 0.56 | F |
| David Raya Martín | 3.7 | 3.89 | 4.56 | 8.35 | 3.9 | 3.73 | 4.69 | 5.9 | 0.79 | G |
| Martin Dúbravka | 3.01 | 3.32 | 3.34 | 3.26 | 2.48 | 3.37 | 3.13 | 4 | 0.78 | G |
| José Malheiro de Sá | 2.17 | 3.14 | 2.56 | 5.09 | 3.1 | 2.77 | 3.14 | 4.2 | 0.75 | G |
| Bart Verbruggen | 3.14 | 3.55 | 3.67 | 2.85 | 3.31 | 3.49 | 3.33 | 4.5 | 0.74 | G |
| Elliot Anderson | 4.42 | 4.52 | 4.27 | 4.86 | 4.14 | 4.5 | 4.45 | 5.3 | 0.84 | M |
| Marcus Tavernier | 4.08 | 4.66 | 4.55 | 4.38 | 4.59 | 4.36 | 4.44 | 5.5 | 0.81 | M |
| James Garner | 4.11 | 3.96 | 3.85 | 4.27 | 4.03 | 3.88 | 4.02 | 5.2 | 0.77 | M |
| Jhon Arias | 2.85 | 3.6 | 3.32 | 5.92 | 3.18 | 3.41 | 3.71 | 4.9 | 0.76 | M |
Top 4 utility per position - >3.5pts
| name | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | Avg points | Cost | Utility | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Richards | 3.44 | 4.04 | 3.63 | 5.24 | 4.69 | 3.83 | 4.15 | 4.4 | 0.94 | D |
| Gabriel dos Santos Magalhães | 5.13 | 5.41 | 5.96 | 11.26 | 5.29 | 4.9 | 6.32 | 6.8 | 0.93 | D |
| Marcos Senesi Barón | 3.88 | 4.55 | 4.22 | 4.64 | 4.42 | 4.91 | 4.44 | 4.8 | 0.92 | D |
| Omar Alderete | 3.92 | 4.84 | 2.71 | 3.39 | 4.11 | 3.73 | 3.78 | 4.1 | 0.92 | D |
| João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus | 3.78 | 4.55 | 4.25 | 4.05 | 4.69 | 2.97 | 4.05 | 7.1 | 0.57 | F |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 3.89 | 3.77 | 3.77 | 4.75 | 4.8 | 3.63 | 4.1 | 7.5 | 0.55 | F |
| Igor Thiago Nascimento Rodrigues | 4.47 | 3.87 | 3.57 | 3.18 | 4.14 | 4.33 | 3.93 | 7.2 | 0.55 | F |
| Francisco Evanilson de Lima Barbosa | 3.65 | 4 | 3.74 | 3.56 | 3.92 | 3.96 | 3.8 | 7 | 0.54 | F |
| David Raya Martín | 3.7 | 3.89 | 4.56 | 8.35 | 3.9 | 3.73 | 4.69 | 5.9 | 0.79 | G |
| Alisson Becker | 3.5 | 3.34 | 2.89 | 4.01 | 3.64 | 3.87 | 3.54 | 5.4 | 0.66 | G |
| Elliot Anderson | 4.42 | 4.52 | 4.27 | 4.86 | 4.14 | 4.5 | 4.45 | 5.3 | 0.84 | M |
| Marcus Tavernier | 4.08 | 4.66 | 4.55 | 4.38 | 4.59 | 4.36 | 4.44 | 5.5 | 0.81 | M |
| James Garner | 4.11 | 3.96 | 3.85 | 4.27 | 4.03 | 3.88 | 4.02 | 5.2 | 0.77 | M |
| Jhon Arias | 2.85 | 3.6 | 3.32 | 5.92 | 3.18 | 3.41 | 3.71 | 4.9 | 0.76 | M |