GW24 -- Early Thoughts

Elite Players and Performance

Fixture Difficulty Rating (FDR)

FDR measures how tough upcoming fixtures are on a scale of 1-5, with lower being easier. Use this to plan transfers and identify teams entering favorable runs.

Measuring Transfer Pressure

Dorgu is top of the transfer out list due to injury. Calafiori, Ndiaye popping up at top of transfer in list.

Pressure to transfer in

name	crowd_own	elite_owner_rate	Xpts delta vs past - zscore	Delta in FDR vs past - zscore	Weighted zscore	Probability of buying
Riccardo Calafiori	0.07	0	3.23	0.3	2.35	0.95
Iliman Ndiaye	0.04	0.1	2.94	0.9	2.32	0.95
Dango Ouattara	0	0.02	2.17	1.96	2.11	0.93
Dan Burn	0.03	0	2.47	1.13	2.07	0.93
Mohamed Salah	0.15	0	3.24	-0.9	2	0.92
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall	0.02	0	2.47	0.9	2	0.92
Jarrad Branthwaite	0	0	2.35	0.9	1.92	0.92
El Hadji Malick Diouf	0.01	0	1.84	1.69	1.79	0.9
Daniel Muñoz Mejía	0.06	0	2.83	-0.71	1.77	0.9
Ismaïla Sarr	0.02	0	2.82	-0.72	1.76	0.9

Pressure to transfer out

	name	crowd_own	elite_owner_rate	Xpts delta vs past - zscore	Delta in FDR vs past - zscore	Weighted zscore	Probability of selling
52	Donyell Malen	0.00559218	0	-5.88306	0	-4.11814	0.994221
440	Patrick Dorgu	0.0939237	0.02	-4.98907	-1.72935	-4.01115	0.993399
24	Ethan Nwaneri	0.00138805	0	-5.5029	0	-3.85203	0.991958
47	Youri Tielemans	0.0115011	0	-3.0892	-0.871912	-2.42401	0.953912
165	Yasin Ayari	0.00444086	0	-2.6973	-0.491181	-2.03546	0.927192
664	Lucas Estella Perri	0.00285852	0	-2.88605	0.00452191	-2.01888	0.92578
369	Jeremie Frimpong	0.0738261	0	-2.47066	-0.891159	-1.99681	0.923862
637	Ki-Jana Hoever	0.0126192	0	-2.84183	0	-1.98928	0.923197
53	John McGinn	0.0101434	0	-2.37012	-0.871912	-1.92065	0.91689
100	Caoimhín Kelleher	0.109829	0.1	-3.2101	1.94547	-1.66343	0.888873