GW30 -- HoF Review
TLDR
- Bruno Fernandes emerges as the dominant captain pick with 76% ownership in GW30, representing a massive shift from Haaland’s 84% in GW29
- Haaland suffers significant drops - down 5 starters (47→42) and 38 captain selections (42→4), indicating elite manager concerns over his form
- Harry Wilson becomes the biggest transfer target with 20 new starters, suggesting Brighton’s favorable fixtures are attracting attention
- The ‘big three’ starters remain remarkably stable with Bruno (100%), Gabriel (98%), and Igor (96%) maintaining near-universal selection
- Zero chip usage across all 50 managers indicates GW30 is viewed as a hold week before more favorable upcoming fixtures
Top 3 Starters by Gameweek
Elite starter selections show remarkable stability at the top, with Bruno Fernandes maintaining 100% ownership across all five gameweeks and Gabriel holding steady at 98%. The most significant change is Igor Thiago’s rise to 96% ownership, displacing Haaland from the top three consensus picks over the past three gameweeks. This shift reflects a clear tactical move away from City assets, with Haaland dropping from 47 to 42 starters, while Brighton’s Igor gains favor. The core template remains incredibly tight among elite managers, with these three players forming an almost universal foundation.
| gw | Top1 | Top2 | Top3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bruno Borges Fernandes (50, 100.0%) | Erling Haaland (49, 98.0%) | Gabriel dos Santos Magalhães (49, 98.0%) |
| 27 | Bruno Borges Fernandes (50, 100.0%) | Erling Haaland (49, 98.0%) | Gabriel dos Santos Magalhães (49, 98.0%) |
| 28 | Bruno Borges Fernandes (50, 100.0%) | Gabriel dos Santos Magalhães (49, 98.0%) | Igor Thiago Nascimento Rodrigues (48, 96.0%) |
| 29 | Bruno Borges Fernandes (50, 100.0%) | Gabriel dos Santos Magalhães (49, 98.0%) | Igor Thiago Nascimento Rodrigues (48, 96.0%) |
| 30 | Bruno Borges Fernandes (50, 100.0%) | Gabriel dos Santos Magalhães (49, 98.0%) | Igor Thiago Nascimento Rodrigues (48, 96.0%) |
Top 3 Captains by Gameweek
A seismic shift occurred in captaincy preferences between GW29 and GW30, with Bruno Fernandes jumping from just 8% to 76% ownership, while Haaland plummeted from 84% to 8%. This represents one of the most dramatic captain swings in recent weeks, with 34 managers switching to Bruno as their primary option. The fragmentation is evident with Salah picking up 10% and even Hugo Ekitiké attracting 4% backing, suggesting elite managers are actively diversifying away from the previously dominant Haaland pick. This captain rotation signals significant concerns about City’s attacking output and fixture difficulty.
| gw | Top1 | Top2 | Top3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Gabriel dos Santos Magalhães (46, 92.0%) | Declan Rice (3, 6.0%) | Jurriën Timber (1, 2.0%) |
| 27 | Erling Haaland (40, 80.0%) | Cole Palmer (6, 12.0%) | Bruno Borges Fernandes (1, 2.0%) |
| 28 | Erling Haaland (29, 58.0%) | Bruno Borges Fernandes (20, 40.0%) | Hugo Ekitiké (1, 2.0%) |
| 29 | Erling Haaland (42, 84.0%) | Bruno Borges Fernandes (4, 8.0%) | Antoine Semenyo (2, 4.0%) |
| 30 | Bruno Borges Fernandes (38, 76.0%) | Mohamed Salah (5, 10.0%) | Erling Haaland (4, 8.0%) |
Latest GW30 vs GW29 — Starters deltas (by unique teams)
Harry Wilson’s emergence as the standout transfer target with 20 new starters indicates elite managers are targeting Brighton’s upcoming fixtures aggressively. The coordinated moves away from Everton assets are stark, with Iliman Ndiaye (-9) and James Tarkowski (-8) being systematically removed, likely due to fixture congestion or difficulty. Brighton’s appeal extends beyond Wilson, with João Pedro (+5), Verbruggen (+5), and Andersen (+5) all gaining significant backing. The -5 movement away from Haaland in starting lineups reinforces the captaincy data, showing elite managers are reducing their City exposure across multiple fronts rather than just avoiding the captaincy.
Subbed IN (biggest increases)
| player | latest | prev | delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Wilson | 20 | 0 | 20 |
| Bart Verbruggen | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus | 8 | 3 | 5 |
| Joachim Andersen | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| Nico O’Reilly | 5 | 0 | 5 |
Subbed OUT (biggest decreases)
| player | latest | prev | delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iliman Ndiaye | 0 | 9 | -9 |
| James Tarkowski | 0 | 8 | -8 |
| Martin Dúbravka | 1 | 8 | -7 |
| Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall | 0 | 6 | -6 |
| Erling Haaland | 42 | 47 | -5 |
Latest GW30 vs GW29 — Captains deltas (by unique teams)
More captained
| player | latest | prev | delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Borges Fernandes | 38 | 4 | 34 |
| Mohamed Salah | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Hugo Ekitiké | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Igor Thiago Nascimento Rodrigues | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Less captained
| player | latest | prev | delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erling Haaland | 4 | 42 | -38 |
| Antoine Semenyo | 0 | 2 | -2 |
