GW31 -- Chip Strategy
TLDR:
- Both models show complete consensus on chip placement and timing: FH33, WC35, BB36, with TC unused
- GW33 Free Hit generates the highest expected points (105.0 v1, 113.8 v2) with Haaland captaincy across both models
- v2 consistently outperforms v1 in xP: +8.8 points on FH33, +3.2 on WC35, +6.2 on BB36
- Bruno Fernandes dominates captaincy in non-chip weeks (GW31, 32, 34, 35) while Haaland leads chip weeks
- Key transfer differences in GW31: v1 brings in O.Dango, v2 opts for Salah, setting up different chip week foundations
Chip Strategy Overview
Both models converge on an identical chip sequence: Free Hit in GW33, Wildcard in GW35, and Bench Boost in GW36, leaving Triple Captain unused. This represents strong strategic alignment despite their different methodological approaches. The timing appears optimized around fixture congestion periods, with the Free Hit targeting what’s likely a blank/double gameweek scenario in GW33 (105.0+ xP suggests multiple games). The Wildcard in GW35 serves as a squad reset before the final Bench Boost push in GW36, where both models project over 107 points.
v1 vs v2 Chip Comparison
| gw | v1_chip | v1_xp | v1_captain | v2_chip | v2_xp | v2_captain | consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 54.70 | B.Fernandes | 56.30 | B.Fernandes | |||
| 32 | 61.00 | B.Fernandes | 61.70 | B.Fernandes | |||
| 33 | FH | 105.00 | Haaland | FH | 113.80 | Haaland | AGREE |
| 34 | 56.50 | B.Fernandes | 57.10 | B.Fernandes | |||
| 35 | WC | 62.30 | B.Fernandes | WC | 65.50 | B.Fernandes | AGREE |
| 36 | BB | 107.30 | Haaland | BB | 113.50 | Haaland | AGREE |
The chip timing reveals a clear endgame acceleration strategy, with all three chips deployed across GWs 33-36. GW33 represents the primary points ceiling opportunity with 105.0-113.8 xP projections, justifying Free Hit usage over potential future weeks. The relatively modest Wildcard totals in GW35 (62.3-65.5 xP) suggest this is more about squad restructuring than immediate points maximization. GW36 delivers the payoff with Bench Boost generating 107.3-113.5 xP, indicating strong fixture alignment across the entire 15-man squad. The 8-week gap between GW33 and the season end provides sufficient runway for this concentrated chip approach.
v1 Schedule
| gw | chip | lineup_xp | bench_xp | total_xp | captain | captain_xp | transfers_in | transfers_out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 47.90 | 2.40 | 54.70 | B.Fernandes | 6.85 | Hill, O.Dango | O’Reilly, Rice | |
| 32 | 53.70 | 10.50 | 61.00 | B.Fernandes | 7.37 | Mbeumo | Enzo | |
| 33 | FH | 92.80 | 19.70 | 105.00 | Haaland | 12.18 | ||
| 34 | 49.10 | 5.10 | 56.50 | B.Fernandes | 7.43 | |||
| 35 | WC | 55.70 | 12.40 | 62.30 | B.Fernandes | 6.60 | Guéhi, J.Timber, Sarr, Semenyo, Stach, Haaland, Verbruggen, Wharton, Welbeck | Darlow, Andersen, Virgil, Ndiaye, Anderson, Mbeumo, O.Dango, Beto, Ekitiké |
| 36 | BB | 93.20 | 0.00 | 107.30 | Haaland | 14.10 |
v2 Schedule
| gw | chip | lineup_xp | bench_xp | total_xp | captain | captain_xp | transfers_in | transfers_out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 49.50 | 3.00 | 56.30 | B.Fernandes | 6.85 | Hill, M.Salah | O’Reilly, Rice | |
| 32 | 54.30 | 11.50 | 61.70 | B.Fernandes | 7.37 | |||
| 33 | FH | 100.80 | 22.80 | 113.80 | Haaland | 12.97 | ||
| 34 | 49.70 | 2.90 | 57.10 | B.Fernandes | 7.43 | |||
| 35 | WC | 58.90 | 14.10 | 65.50 | B.Fernandes | 6.60 | Guéhi, Struijk, J.Timber, Semenyo, Stach, Calvert-Lewin, Haaland, Verbruggen, Sarr, Wharton | Darlow, Andersen, Virgil, Hill, Anderson, Ndiaye, Enzo, M.Salah, Beto, Ekitiké |
| 36 | BB | 98.50 | 0.00 | 113.50 | Haaland | 15.01 |
