GW32 -- Chip Strategy
TLDR:
- Both models achieve complete consensus on chip timing, recommending FH33, WC36, and BB37 - suggesting these are optimal windows regardless of adjustment methodology
- v2 consistently outperforms v1 by 13.3 xP (105.6 vs 92.3) in FH33, 13.1 xP in WC36, and 7.4 xP in BB37, indicating confidence-gating produces superior chip week lineups
- Both models captain Haaland during the two highest-scoring chip weeks (FH33 and WC36), with v2 projecting significantly higher captain returns (11.51 vs 9.21 in GW33)
- Transfer strategy differs in GW32 with v1 bringing in Gordon while v2 targets Rice, yet both models consistently captain Bruno Fernandes in non-chip weeks
Chip Strategy Overview
Both models demonstrate remarkable alignment on chip placement, unanimously recommending FH33, WC36, and BB37 with no disagreements across the analyzed period. This consensus suggests these gameweeks represent clear optimal windows for chip deployment regardless of the underlying adjustment methodology. The models preserve Triple Captain for later in the season, likely targeting double gameweeks or premium captaincy opportunities beyond GW37. The synchronized timing indicates robust underlying fixture and player projection data driving both approaches.
v1 vs v2 Chip Comparison
| gw | v1_chip | v1_xp | v1_captain | v2_chip | v2_xp | v2_captain | consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 57.10 | B.Fernandes | 59.30 | B.Fernandes | |||
| 33 | FH | 92.30 | Haaland | FH | 105.60 | Haaland | AGREE |
| 34 | 56.50 | B.Fernandes | 60.20 | B.Fernandes | |||
| 35 | 54.20 | B.Fernandes | 56.90 | B.Fernandes | |||
| 36 | WC | 79.40 | Haaland | WC | 92.50 | Haaland | AGREE |
| 37 | BB | 71.40 | B.Fernandes | BB | 78.80 | B.Fernandes | AGREE |
The chip sequence targets three consecutive high-scoring gameweeks, with FH33 and WC36 representing the two highest expected point totals across both models. GW33 appears particularly favorable for Free Hit deployment, with v2 projecting a massive 105.6 xP total, while the WC36 timing allows for optimal squad restructuring ahead of BB37. The models avoid chip usage in GWs 32, 34, and 35 where projected returns hover around 54-60 xP, suggesting these represent relatively poor fixture periods. The BB37 placement as the final chip maximizes bench returns when squad depth is optimized post-Wildcard.
v1 Schedule
| gw | chip | lineup_xp | bench_xp | total_xp | captain | captain_xp | transfers_in | transfers_out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 49.70 | 10.40 | 57.10 | B.Fernandes | 7.40 | Gordon | Enzo | |
| 33 | FH | 83.10 | 25.20 | 92.30 | Haaland | 9.21 | ||
| 34 | 49.10 | 5.50 | 56.50 | B.Fernandes | 7.38 | |||
| 35 | 47.50 | 12.10 | 54.20 | B.Fernandes | 6.71 | |||
| 36 | WC | 69.40 | 14.50 | 79.40 | Haaland | 10.04 | Dúbravka, Richards, Lacroix, Guéhi, Sarr, Semenyo, Haaland, Kelleher, Calvert-Lewin | Darlow, Raya, Thiaw, Gabriel, O’Reilly, Ndiaye, Anderson, Beto, Ekitiké |
| 37 | BB | 64.00 | 0.00 | 71.40 | B.Fernandes | 7.34 |
v2 Schedule
| gw | chip | lineup_xp | bench_xp | total_xp | captain | captain_xp | transfers_in | transfers_out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 51.90 | 12.30 | 59.30 | B.Fernandes | 7.40 | Rice | Enzo | |
| 33 | FH | 94.10 | 26.40 | 105.60 | Haaland | 11.51 | ||
| 34 | 52.90 | 6.00 | 60.20 | B.Fernandes | 7.38 | |||
| 35 | 50.20 | 13.40 | 56.90 | B.Fernandes | 6.71 | |||
| 36 | WC | 80.00 | 16.20 | 92.50 | Haaland | 12.55 | Lammens, Richards, Lacroix, Sarr, Semenyo, Haaland, Stach, Calvert-Lewin | Darlow, Thiaw, Virgil, Ndiaye, Anderson, Rice, Beto, Ekitiké |
| 37 | BB | 71.50 | 0.00 | 78.80 | B.Fernandes | 7.34 |
